Prop Bet #1: Earth Proffert
With a legendary fireballer like Max Scherzer and a rookie with a hell of a sweeper in Brandon Puffert, tonight’s pitching battle should be fun.
It’s always a risky proposition to back a rookie starting pitcher in his first World Series start against a batter as powerful as the Texas Rangers’ batting lineup, but I have no qualms about backing him tonight. .
Puffert was a huge addition to the Snakes’ rotation. He may be 0-0 during the postseason, but the Arizona Diamondbacks are 4-0 when he pitches, and the rookie has struck out 22 batters in 16 2/3 innings during the playoffs. are taking away.
Those are impressive numbers, but he also pitched 10 scoreless innings and had 11 strikeouts in two playoff starts at Chase Field.
Puffert enjoyed a decent rookie season pitching at Chase Field. He’s struggled a bit with command, but he has allowed 28 strikeouts and 12 earned runs in his last five starts at home during the regular season, so look for it to be a great night for Puffert against the Texas powerhouse. There is.
Texas already has 20 strikeouts in this series. Additionally, the team struck out 22.6% of the time this season when facing right-handed pitchers on the road. This way, you can see young rookies rack up strikeouts and exceed their prop numbers.
Brandon Puffert Prop: 4.5 strikeouts or more (+100 at BetMGM) 25% boost available
Prop Bet #2: Max Out
Max Scherzer has enjoyed a dream career with the Washington Nationals, with over 3,000 strikeouts, 214 career wins, and a run to the 2019 World Series championship.
He’s had success destroying batters and worthy of being in the Hall of Fame, but one thing he’d like to change is his postseason record. Besides his great performance in 2019, he has experienced many disappointments, posting an 8-9 record in 29 games played in the postseason.
Scherzer hasn’t pitched more than five of his last five postseason starts. He was at his worst in October — striking out fewer than four batters in four of his past five postseason starts and hitting seven home runs in his final 15 2/3 postseason innings.
The Diamondbacks allowed the fourth-most runs against right-handed pitchers in the National League during the regular season. The Snakes’ stick has his third-highest strikeout rate at home, his fourth-highest walk rate, and as we’ve seen, his unparalleled speed can get him into all kinds of trouble on the basepaths. may cause.
Arizona scored 14 points in the first two games and had an astonishing and uncharacteristic 14 strikeouts in Game 1, but only two in Game 2, and that was by a right-handed hitter. That was pretty much in line with his 20% strikeout rate against. This season.
Scherzer will once again struggle to get through the fifth inning as the D-backs make consistent contact and run amok on the bases.
max scherzer prop: Recorded less than 14.5 outs (-130 at BetMGM) 25% boost available
Prop Bet #3: Seager Slowdown
Diamondbacks pitching coach Brent Strome seems to have told his pitchers to throw to Texas slugger Corey Seager as much as possible over the center, and I believe that could be the case tonight.
Puffert has been great, but he has struggled a bit this season pitching against left-handed pitchers. During the regular season, he walked left-handed batters 3.22 times per nine frames, and while that walk rate went down a bit at Chase Field, this season left-handed batters are batting .314 at home against rookie right-handed batters. It is recorded.
Seager is the Rangers’ best offensive threat in the postseason, and someone you don’t want to play against in a must-win situation. He tied Game 1 with two runs in the bottom of the ninth, but if faced with a similar decision, there’s not a chance in the world that Diamondbacks manager Tory Lovullo would allow it tonight.
The Rangers slugger had 14 walks in 68 at-bats during the postseason (20.6% walk rate) and gave up two walks in the close Game 1. Game 2 was a loss for the Rangers’ hitters, but Arizona continued to pitch around him. The trend continues tonight.
Finally, Game 3 could be a close one as well. Puffert will avoid Seager like the plague and throw him around Seager as often as possible. Seager had an 11.2% walk rate against right-handed pitchers this season, giving him the fourth-most intentional walks in MLB.
corey seager prop: Walk 0.5 or more (+125 at DraftKings) 25% boost available