JD Vance takes on Tim Walz

PIMCO analysts said in a new report that Vance’s already low approval ratings put him in an even better position in tonight’s debate.

Analysts say vice presidential debates generally tend to have a negligible impact on presidential elections. But given that this election is supposed to be won “by inches, not feet,” the vice presidential candidates’ performances tonight may carry more weight than usual.

So far, Vance’s comments about “childless cat ladies” and debunked claims that immigrants are eating pets in Springfield, Ohio, have caused the Trump campaign to engage in damage control several times. Ta.

These gaffes and low approval ratings give Mr. Vance “more upside, and potentially more downside,” in his matchup with Walz.

— rebecca picciotto

Although polls show Harris in the lead, Trump has a slightly better chance of winning the election. stifel financialWashington’s chief policy strategist.

Expert Brian Gardner said, “Based on election fundamentals and a comparison of past elections and this election, Trump has a better chance of winning the Electoral College vote than some people think.” “We believe the company is in a strong position,” expert Brian Gardner said in a new analyst note.

He pointed to voters’ deep doubts about the economy and Trump’s persistent, though diminishing, advantage on this issue. And although polls currently show Harris leading by about 2 points, Gardner said she is in a stronger position now than she was in the 2016 election, when Trump defeated Hillary Clinton.

Gardner cites RealClearPolitics polling averages from recent election cycles. faced intense scrutiny Across the data you choose to aggregate.

The analyst also supports Republicans flipping the Senate, which Democrats currently lead 51-49, but predicts Republicans will likely lose their majority in the House.

— Kevin Breuninger

Vance fired back this week for fact-checking MSNBC anchor Stephanie Ruhl’s claim that her children “eat about 14 eggs every morning.”

Vance made the statement on Sept. 21 during a campaign stop at a supermarket in Pennsylvania, where he sought to make a case for rising grocery costs under the Biden-Harris administration.

More than a week later, Ms. Ruhl calculated that if her two children ate 14 eggs a day, they would eat 98 eggs a week, and pointed this out in X’s post. Vance has three children, ages 6, 4, and 2.

He suggested to Rhule that Egg’s statement was just an exaggeration and that the MSNBC anchor was taking the claims too literally.

“Once I said I was so tired I could sleep for days,” Vance wrote in a post Monday. “Stephanie Rule: Vance actually only sleeps eight hours.”

— rebecca picciotto

Netflix After co-founder and chairman Reed Hastings endorsed Harris for president in July’s X Post, cancellations skyrocketed in the five days. reported by bloomberg. At the time, Hastings also announced in an interview that he had donated $7 million to a pro-Harris PAC.

In the U.S., cancellation rates nearly tripled in the days following approval, according to data from market research firm Antenna. July 26, four days after approval, was the day with the most cancellations for Netflix this year.

— Ece Yildirim

Walz has a policy track record in Minnesota that some progressives might only dream of.

The Democratic Party’s third consecutive victory and nearly $18 billion in budget surpluses allowed Walz to consolidate his power. Trade union protectioninvest more than $1 billion housing resource, universal path Paid family and medical leavemake school lunch free for all students, go on a hike Corporate tax And so on.

Walz’s policy accomplishments serve as a testing ground for some of the Harris campaign’s economic foundations. But his generous spending record and sometimes tense relationships with corporations could provide ammunition for Vance in tonight’s debate.

Read more CNBC coverage Mr. Waltz corporate struggle and his overall Minnesota’s performance.

— rebecca picciotto

Walz will begin the day in Harbor Springs, Michigan, where he and his team have been preparing for the debate since Saturday. He plans to leave for New York City in the morning.

Like Harris, Walz spent a few extra days in battleground states preparing for debates, seizing the opportunity to curry favor with voters.

Vance flew from Ohio to New York City on Monday afternoon ahead of tonight’s debate.

Vice President Harris is not scheduled to campaign that day, but Trump is scheduled to campaign twice in Wisconsin. The former president will speak at the Waunakee Maker at 2:30 p.m. ET, followed by a speech at Discovery World Science and Technology Museum in Milwaukee at 6 p.m. ET.

— Ece Yildirim

Vance and Walz face off tonight in New York City, a fitting backdrop for a sparring match focused on the economy and the high cost of living, which consistently rank among voters’ top issues.

New York City is plagued by an ongoing affordability crisis.

As of 2022, the median home price in New York City was $724,000, according to . Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Median household income that year was $72,000. As a result, nearly 70% of the population rents housing.

The office market has also suffered from the effects of the pandemic, as remote work policies have hollowed out office buildings and disrupted some sectors of commercial real estate.

Still, New York City’s five boroughs, home to Wall Street and a burgeoning high-tech industry, are the largest economy in the state and one of the largest in the world.

— rebecca picciotto

The New York Times Editorial Board endorsed Harris as a presidential candidate. opinion articlecalled her “the only patriotic choice for president.”

“It is hard to think of a candidate less suited to be president of the United States than Donald Trump,” the editorial board wrote, arguing that the former president was “morally” and “temperamentally” unfit to serve as president.

The article also criticizes Trump’s criminal charges, his advanced age compared to Harris, and his “fundamental lack of interest in policy and increasingly strange bedfellows.”

“President Trump’s second term will be far more harmful and divisive than his first,” the editorial board wrote.

— Ece Yildirim