Patriots vs. Raiders odds and picks | NFL Week 6 betting preview
Sunday October 15th
4:05pm ET
CBS
patriots odds | ||
---|---|---|
spread | total | money line |
+3 -115 | 41.5 -110o / -110u | +130 |
Raiders odds | ||
---|---|---|
spread | total | money line |
-3 -105 | 41.5 -110o / -110u | -150 |
Patriots vs. Raiders odds have Las Vegas as a 3-point favorite against Bill Belichick and the spread against the Patriots. For those looking to get under the key numbers on the line, keep an eye on FanDuel, where the Raiders are -2.5. The game total is 41.5.
It’s only been five games this year, but this matchup already feels like a game that will determine draft order more than playoff standings. The Raiders, led by Josh McDaniels, had two wins and three losses, falling short of 20 points in all five games. The Patriots have won their last two games 72-3. They sit in the basement of the AFC East at 1-4 and have suffered a number of key injuries on defense.
Preview this matchup between McDaniels and Belichick and make your Patriots vs. Raiders picks.
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Patriots vs. Raiders
Matchup analysis
The Raiders are two years into the Josh McDaniels era, and the pressure already seems to be mounting.
Las Vegas revamped its offensive line by changing quarterbacks and replacing its receiving core. As a result, the offensive line ranks 29th in points and yards this season.
Their struggle to score points each week left them in an unusual atmosphere. Since 2010, only five teams have scored fewer than 20 points in five consecutive games to start a season. The Raiders are the only team out of those five to win a game.
The Raiders’ offensive struggles are made worse by their inability to protect the ball. According to Las Vegas, Las Vegas ranks last in percentage of drives that end in sales. pro football reference. A turnover rate of 22% on drives means that for every five drives he has one turnover.
Defensively, the Raiders have performed better than expected, ranking 20th in points allowed and 14th in yards allowed. However, their schedules did not allow them to try. The only two respectable offenses they’ve faced are his, the Bills and Chargers.
The Bills cut through their opponents like a hot knife through butter, and the Chargers had scored 24 points in the first half. Fortunately, the Patriots are another winner on offense.
New England’s struggles have pushed them to last place offensively. The Patriots rank 31st in yards per drive and 32nd in points per drive.
What makes the offense even worse is its tendency to force opponents to score. Mac Jones committed four turnovers that led to opposing points. That’s just one touchdown shy of the number he scored with the Patriots. The only big step forward for this team will be in protecting the ball, which is said to be Jones’ strength.
A negative passing attack allowed the team to stifle the Pats’ run game.around Nfero, the Patriots’ passing percentage is fifth-lowest than expected. This is a fancy way of saying New England likes to run the ball when it shouldn’t. Even though it’s not as effective as the Patriots are 29th in yards per attempt.
What was buried under the Patriots’ struggles was actually a good defense. The Patriots are 4th in yards per drive and 11th in points per drive. The only problem is they can’t force turnovers. New England ranks last in forcing two turnovers on the year. They haven’t done anything in the last three games.
Patriots vs. Raiders
Betting selection and predictions
The Raiders’ schedule is one of this year’s gifts. They only played one team ranked in the top half according to PFF’s overall team grade — that team was the Bills, and it was a complete wrecking job by Buffalo.
The Patriots had the exact opposite schedule advantage. All five of New England’s opponents are ranked in the top 12 overall by PFF.
You could call it catching a falling knife, but this seems like a great starting point for the Patriots. New England is looking to run the ball, with each of the Raiders’ last four opponents rushing for over 100 yards.
If the Patriots can move the ball on the ground, the risk of Mac Jones committing a game-breaking turnover will be limited. Conversely, the Patriots are expected to regress in turnovers, and what better team to play against than the most turnover-prone offense?
Bill Belichick will utilize the former offensive coordinator and quarterback to at least cover the spread.
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