Buffalo (10-6 SU, 6-9-1 ATS) travels to Miami (11-5 SU, 10-6 ATS) for a blockbuster matchup to decide the AFC East championship Sunday at 8 p.m. 20 minutes ET at Miami’s Hard Rock Stadium. garden.
The last time these teams met was on October 1st against Buffalo, with the Bills winning 48-20 as a three-point favorite. Josh Allen threw four touchdown passes and ran for one to lead the Bills, who are still in the hunt for a championship. play off.
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Buffalo should be able to make the playoffs at 10-6, but a loss to Miami could put them out at 10-7. A win would mean not only the AFC East title, but also the No. 2 seed behind Baltimore. Even if the Steelers lose or the Jags lose, they still qualify for the playoffs. So while they may have clinched a playoff spot before Sunday night’s kickoff, they still need a win to win the district title.
At one point midway through the season, it looked like the Bills had no chance of catching up to Miami. However, they moved up the standings last week with four consecutive wins, including an away game against Kansas City, a home game against Dallas, an away game against the Chargers (24-22), and last week’s game against New England (27-21). The key was Josh Allen and RB James Cook, who helped revitalize their running game.
Allen didn’t have a great performance last week against the Patriots, going 15-of-30 with picks for 169 yards. James Cook was held to 48 yards on 16 carries, but Allen added 44 yards with two TDs.
For the season, Allen passed for 3,947 yards, 27 TDs, and 16 picks, and rushed for 457 yards and 15 TDs. Cook had 1,086 rushing yards and two TDs, averaging 4.8 yards per carry. He had 41 catches for 429 yards and four TDs, earning him his first Pro Bowl berth.
The Bills were solid defensively, allowing 309.2 yards per game (10th), 198.4 passing yards (7th), and 110.8 rushing yards (15th). Veteran pass rusher Leonard Floyd leads the team with 10.5 sacks. Overall, the offense averaged 368.3 yards per game (5th), 238.1 passing (10th), and 130.3 rushing yards (7th), and 26.9 points per game (6th). ) was recorded.
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Dealing with injuries and explosive losses
Miami is having a strong season, winning five of their last seven games. They don’t want to slip into the playoffs trailing as a wild card following a 56-19 loss to the No. 1 seed. Baltimore. This was a matchup for the No. 1 seed in the AFC, with the two best teams competing to get to the top of the hill. Miami started off strong and scored the first TD, but then allowed a TD. But they moved to the right side of the field on their second possession, and Tua Tagovailoa hit Tyreek Hill in the back of the end zone for an easy touchdown that nearly gave the Dolphins a 14-7 lead. Hill dropped the pass and Miami never recovered.
What Miami needs in this game is to have some key offensive weapons back. Running back Raheem Mostert, who set a franchise record with 21 total touchdowns, missed the game against Baltimore with an ankle injury. WR Jaylen Waddle (ankle) also missed the game, and both are listed as questionable for the Bills game. CB Zavian Howard (foot) is not expected to play, but at least Miami has a solid veteran cornerback duo in Jalen Ramsey and Eli Apple.
Waddle has 72 catches for 1,014 yards in 14 games. Tyreek Hill is having a tremendous year with 112 catches, 1,717 yards, and 12 TDs. But Hill is not only dealing with his ankle injury, but his house caught fire in South Florida on Wednesday afternoon, causing a lot of damage (luckily his family is safe). is).
Tagovailoa is having a strong season, completing 69.6 percent of his passes for 4,451 yards, 28 TDs, and 12 INTs (two last week). Rookie running back Devon Ashen had 744 yards rushing, seven TDs rushing and three TDs receiving.
Also on the injury front, Miami lost EDGE’s top rusher Bradley Chubb to a knee injury late in last week’s game, causing him to miss the season. Chubb had 11 sacks and six forced fumbles.
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Miami has a long list of key questionable players and will be without Chubb and Howard on defense. Perhaps Waddle and Mostert should be given another week of rest before the playoffs. When healthy, they’re the second-best team in the AFC, but that doesn’t matter right now. Buffalo will be playing on the road, but Hard Rock Stadium will likely be packed with Bills fans. Without Chubb and Howard, Allen has more time to throw and can throw to Eli Apple, allowing him to set up runs with passes. Tagovailoa has struggled last week with a protection issue and is also dealing with a shoulder injury. Not having a healthy Hill, and possibly Waddle, won’t help his production. The Bills have won three straight in this series and 10 of their last 11 games.
Prediction: Buffalo -2.5
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Buffalo doesn’t necessarily want a shootout, but they’ve won three straight against Miami that way, well ahead of the total. Miami’s defense was torn to shreds last week and will struggle again without Chubb and Howard. Allen is still prone to turnovers, but the Bills need to be able to pass and run in big games if they are to earn the No. 2 seed. James Cook should bounce back from last week’s mediocre game against a tough Patriots defense. Tagovailoa still uses Achan as an explosive weapon in the backfield and as a receiver. Miami has lost in four of its last six games.
Prediction: 48+
